CFS El Progreso Sub 19 vs FC Cartagena B Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
50.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
10º
18º
12º
25
3º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 81 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 69 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 68 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 66 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 61 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 58 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 57 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 50 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 43 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 35 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 35 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 29 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 29 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 25 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 23 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ARC
3 - 0
PRO
54%
21%
26%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 1
FUT
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
CIE
5 - 2
PRO
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 3
PIN
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 3
FUT
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena B Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
CLU
60%
20%
21%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
EDM
3 - 3
CAR
24%
21%
56%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 0
LOR
31%
22%
48%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UCA
1 - 2
CAR
78%
13%
9%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
RAN
1 - 0
CAR
71%
17%
12%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |