Carioca Série B1 Ascenso Playoff Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Maricá vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maricá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 0
CMA
47%
23%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
CMA
0 - 0
NOV
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CMA
2 - 1
SAM
36%
25%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
CMA
0 - 2
SAM
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
CAA
3 - 4
CMA
14%
18%
68%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 0
CMA
47%
23%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CMA
2 - 1
SAM
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
CMA
0 - 2
SAM
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SAM
2 - 2
RIO
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
DUQ
1 - 0
SAM
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |