Carioca A2 Eliminatorias Final
Global 1-1
Maricá vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
41.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maricá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CMA
2 - 2
POR
16%
21%
63%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OLA
1 - 1
CMA
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CMA
4 - 3
AUD
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
CMA
2 - 0
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
CMA
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
OLA
3 - 3
BOA
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OLA
1 - 1
CMA
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
OLA
1 - 0
DUQ
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
OLA
1 - 0
SCR
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DUQ
0 - 0
OLA
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |