Maricá vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
53.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maricá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
CMA
1 - 2
CAB
36%
24%
39%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
RES
1 - 0
CMA
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ADC
1 - 1
CMA
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CMA
1 - 2
AME
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
CMA
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
OLA
0 - 1
SAO
15%
24%
62%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
OLA
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
OLA
2 - 2
POR
21%
26%
53%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
OLA
1 - 1
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
OLA
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |