Rio Cup Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 3-1
Maricá vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maricá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 0
CMA
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
CMA
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
DUQ
1 - 1
CMA
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DUQ
0 - 1
CMA
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CMA
1 - 0
RES
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DUQ
0 - 0
OLA
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 0
DUQ
29%
27%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
DUQ
1 - 1
CMA
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DUQ
0 - 1
CMA
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 2
DUQ
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |