CfR Pforzheim vs TSG Backnang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
6º
5º
21
7º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 88 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 76 |
2º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 50 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
53.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 20 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 30.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CfR Pforzheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 3
PFO
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
PFO
3 - 2
NOR
71%
18%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
SPI
1 - 4
PFO
14%
20%
65%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 1
PFO
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
PFO
2 - 1
FRE
24%
22%
54%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
TSG Backnang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TSB
2 - 0
FCV
48%
21%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 0
TSB
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TSB
0 - 5
SVS
7%
14%
79%
|
30 | 60 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
TSB
0 - 0
STU
9%
16%
75%
|
29 | 59 | 30 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TSB
0 - 0
OBE
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |