CfR Pforzheim vs SV Fellbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
5º
3º
10
2º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 80 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 75 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 62 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 39 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 31 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CfR Pforzheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 0
PFO
19%
23%
59%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
0 - 3
PFO
25%
24%
52%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PFO
1 - 1
VFR
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RAV
1 - 1
PFO
15%
22%
63%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
PFO
3 - 0
TSB
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
SV Fellbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SVF
2 - 1
FCV
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
VFR
5 - 2
SVF
56%
20%
23%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SVF
0 - 2
RAV
41%
21%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TSB
1 - 1
SVF
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SVF
1 - 0
TSV
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |