Cfba Caravaca vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cfba Caravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ECI
2 - 0
CFB
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
CFB
4 - 1
SRQ
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
AGD
2 - 0
CFB
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CFB
4 - 1
POL
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
BET
2 - 1
CFB
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
LUC
2 - 0
LOR
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 0
LUC
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
ECI
1 - 0
LUC
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 0
SRQ
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 1
ULP
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |