CF Villanovense vs FC La Unión Atl. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
16º
18º
17º
6
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
9º
|
5 | 69 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 67 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 56 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 56 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 53 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 53 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
|
2º
|
6 | 49 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 47 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 46 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 45 |
10º
|
6% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 44 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 40 |
12º
|
5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 38 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 37 |
15º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 35 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 33 |
17º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 31 |
18º
|
20% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
29% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
62% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
COR
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 1
VIL
20%
23%
58%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
SAL
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
MAD
20%
25%
56%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
REC
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC La Unión Atl.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
4 - 0
RAA
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
LAU
13%
22%
65%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
0 - 0
UCA
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
5 - 0
MIN
70%
20%
11%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
2 - 0
ELC
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |