CF Villanovense vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
45.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ULP
1 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 1
BET
30%
28%
42%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ECI
5 - 1
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
VIL
3 - 1
MAR
26%
27%
46%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +3 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CDL
1 - 1
VIL
58%
24%
18%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
LAN
3 - 1
EXT
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
CPC
0 - 3
LAN
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
LAN
6 - 1
PPJ
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
COR
0 - 2
LAN
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
LAN
4 - 0
SEV
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |