CF Villanovense vs Calamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
COR
0 - 1
VIL
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
4 - 0
MOR
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CPC
1 - 2
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
MIA
83%
13%
4%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AZU
0 - 2
VIL
19%
21%
60%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAL
3 - 3
CDD
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ADL
1 - 1
CAL
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
4 - 1
TRU
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARR
1 - 3
CAL
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 1
EMD
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |