CF Villanovense vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ASJ
2 - 4
VIL
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
ARR
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
VIL
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
OLI
87%
10%
3%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 1
SAM
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MER
4 - 0
MIA
63%
22%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
PLA
0 - 0
MER
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
CDZ
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
IMP
0 - 5
MER
15%
23%
63%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
JER
0 - 0
MER
38%
27%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |