CF Villanovense vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
COR
1 - 1
VIL
16%
22%
62%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
OLI
87%
10%
3%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 1
SAM
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
DBN
1 - 1
VIL
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
MIA
1 - 2
VIL
18%
25%
57%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 1
MIA
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
CDZ
1 - 0
ARR
23%
24%
54%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 0
IMP
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
JER
0 - 1
ARR
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 0
SPV
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |