Villafranca vs Atletico Cervantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MCR
1 - 3
VIL
15%
17%
68%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 3
CDB
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LME
1 - 2
VIL
15%
19%
66%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
MEM
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
DAI
0 - 0
VIL
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Cervantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 1
LAS
16%
19%
65%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MES
1 - 2
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
MCR
44%
22%
35%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CDB
2 - 1
ATL
88%
9%
3%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |