Tous vs Navarres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
TOU
45%
23%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
TOU
4 - 2
ESI
39%
22%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TOU
2 - 1
CAN
77%
13%
9%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CLG
3 - 1
TOU
31%
21%
48%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 2
BOC
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Navarres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
NAV
6 - 0
CLG
47%
21%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BOC
2 - 0
NAV
67%
17%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
NAV
4 - 0
CLA
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
NAV
27%
21%
52%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
NAV
3 - 1
BEN
75%
14%
11%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |