CF Talavera vs Unión Adarve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
11º
4º
24
8º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 77 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 64 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 58 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 46 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
62% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 18 |
18º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
73% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
25.5% | 51% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Talavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SSR
3 - 1
TAL
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 2
CPC
32%
29%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 0
TAL
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
TAL
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 0
MEL
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Adarve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ADA
0 - 1
GUA
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 0
ADA
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ADA
1 - 0
PAS
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 1
ADA
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
COL
2 - 0
ADA
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -2 |