CF Talavera vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
11º
4º
27
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 77 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 64 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 61 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 58 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 46 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
62% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 18 |
18º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
73% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
25.5% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Talavera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MAJ
0 - 1
TAL
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
TAL
0 - 0
YAI
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
RMA
0 - 0
TAL
35%
26%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TAL
2 - 0
ADA
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SSR
3 - 1
TAL
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
UBC
0 - 2
GUA
24%
27%
48%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 0
UBC
46%
28%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
UBC
1 - 0
IBI
9%
19%
72%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UBC
3 - 0
PAS
45%
29%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
UBC
45%
27%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |