S. Fulgencio vs Murada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
61.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
S. Fulgencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 0
SPO
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 1
VIL
50%
24%
27%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
SPO
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PIN
2 - 3
SPO
59%
21%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 1
NUD
37%
25%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 0
VIJ
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 1
ALM
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 5
MUR
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
MUR
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 0
PIN
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |