Promeses Sueca vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Promeses Sueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
FON
0 - 1
PRO
43%
26%
32%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MAS
2 - 2
PRO
48%
25%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PRO
3 - 0
LLX
33%
24%
43%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
POR
0 - 4
PRO
49%
25%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PRO
4 - 0
RAF
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PEG
1 - 2
ALB
17%
23%
60%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PEG
1 - 3
MUR
16%
21%
63%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
RAC
2 - 1
PEG
67%
19%
14%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PEG
0 - 1
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PEG
0 - 1
UEM
55%
21%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |