Piqueras vs Covaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
62.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+295%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piqueras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
TAR
2 - 0
PIQ
79%
15%
7%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PIQ
1 - 1
CDC
12%
18%
71%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PIQ
1 - 3
VIS
38%
23%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
PIQ
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PIQ
2 - 2
ABE
60%
20%
20%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
COV
1 - 2
EST
31%
22%
46%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 2
COV
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
COV
3 - 0
QUI
52%
22%
25%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 3
COV
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
COV
1 - 0
SJE
23%
22%
55%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |