Belenenses SAD vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
VIT
5 - 1
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 8
SCP
26%
22%
52%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
AVE
3 - 0
BEL
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 3
RIO
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 2
BEL
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 4
FCP
11%
20%
69%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 2
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
4 - 1
NAC
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
SCP
14%
20%
66%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BOA
1 - 0
NAC
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |