CF Norteño vs Ciutadella CE analysis

CF Norteño Ciutadella CE
11 ELO 10
3% Tilt 9.2%
ELO win probability
52.2%
CF Norteño
20.5%
Draw
27.3%
Ciutadella CE

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
CF Norteño
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
27.3%
Win probability
Ciutadella CE
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CF Norteño
-25%
-76%
Ciutadella CE

ELO progression

CF Norteño
Ciutadella CE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CF Norteño
CF Norteño
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2024
NTÑ
CF Norteño
0 - 4
CD Migjorn
MJG
14%
17%
68%
11 24 13 0
13 Jan. 2024
PCE
Penya Ciutadella
1 - 1
CF Norteño
NTÑ
70%
16%
14%
11 15 4 0
07 Jan. 2024
NTÑ
CF Norteño
0 - 7
Atlético Villacarlos
ATL
23%
20%
57%
11 17 6 0
17 Dec. 2023
UDM
UD Mahón
2 - 2
CF Norteño
NTÑ
80%
12%
8%
11 21 10 0
10 Dec. 2023
NTÑ
CF Norteño
3 - 0
CCE Sant Lluís
SLL
32%
21%
47%
9 11 2 +2

Matches

Ciutadella CE
Ciutadella CE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2024
PCE
Penya Ciutadella
1 - 0
Ciutadella CE
SAM
77%
14%
9%
10 15 5 0
17 Jan. 2024
SAM
Ciutadella CE
1 - 3
Atlético Villacarlos
ATL
18%
19%
64%
11 17 6 -1
13 Jan. 2024
UDM
UD Mahón
4 - 1
Ciutadella CE
SAM
85%
11%
5%
11 21 10 0
07 Jan. 2024
SAM
Ciutadella CE
2 - 2
CCE Sant Lluís
SLL
53%
21%
26%
11 9 2 0
16 Dec. 2023
FRR
CE Ferreries
5 - 2
Ciutadella CE
SAM
79%
14%
7%
11 20 9 0