CAF Champions Last 16
Global 1-7
CF Mounana vs Al Ahly SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
74.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Mounana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
CFM
0 - 0
CER
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
ALA
4 - 0
CFM
91%
7%
2%
|
41 | 77 | 36 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 0
CFM
52%
25%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CFM
2 - 0
RAI
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
RAI
1 - 0
CFM
33%
28%
40%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Al Ahly SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ENP
0 - 1
ALA
40%
28%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
ALA
4 - 0
CFM
91%
7%
2%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
ELD
0 - 3
ALA
30%
29%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 1
EEE
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
ALA
5 - 0
NAS
88%
9%
3%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |