Unión Molinense vs Minerva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
4º
3º
19
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 70 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 65 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 57 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 55 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 55 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 54 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 50 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 41 |
12º
|
38% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 40 |
13º
|
35% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
38.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 30 |
15º
|
45.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 23 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 21 |
17º
|
55% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
76% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
14% | 94% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
IMP
2 - 0
MSM
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MUL
0 - 0
MSM
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MSM
1 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
MSM
1 - 1
AFC
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MSM
2 - 2
EGP
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 1
MUL
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MIN
0 - 1
EGP
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 1
CAR
20%
23%
57%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PLU
1 - 4
MIN
24%
23%
53%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 0
PUL
23%
26%
52%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |