Unión Molinense vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
73.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
MSM
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MSM
2 - 0
EGP
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 3
MSM
16%
21%
63%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MSM
2 - 4
PUL
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RMC
2 - 4
MSM
30%
25%
45%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
YEC
49%
28%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 4
MUR
9%
18%
73%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SEV
1 - 2
MUR
35%
28%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
MUR
36%
26%
39%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 1
MEL
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |