Unión Molinense vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
7º
2º
1
3º
18º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
10º
|
2 | 71 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 63 |
2º
|
13% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 61 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 61 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 59 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 58 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 54 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 54 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 50 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
2º
|
4 | 46 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 46 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 45 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 42 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 40 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 30 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 26 |
17º
|
29.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 18 |
18º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
17.5% | 12.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
50% | 47% |
|
Mid-table
|
32.5% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
MSM
1 - 3
MUR
9%
18%
73%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
MSM
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +3 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MSM
2 - 0
EGP
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 3
MSM
16%
21%
63%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MSM
2 - 4
PUL
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
COR
4 - 1
IMP
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 1
COR
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 1
CIE
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CIE
1 - 1
IMP
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
IMP
3 - 2
LOR
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |