Unión Molinense vs At. Pulpileño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
3º
2º
35
4º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 67 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 63 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 60 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 58 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 58 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 54 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 53 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 49 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 36 |
14º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 28 |
15º
|
56.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 22 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 20 |
17º
|
47% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 16 |
18º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
18.5% | 3% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
64% | 28% |
|
Mid-table
|
17.5% | 69% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BUL
0 - 2
MSM
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 1
MSM
24%
23%
52%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MSM
1 - 0
LOR
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 1
MSM
12%
19%
69%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MSM
2 - 2
SAN
69%
17%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
At. Pulpileño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PUL
1 - 0
AFC
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 0
PUL
38%
25%
36%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PUL
1 - 0
UCA
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 1
PUL
50%
23%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PUL
1 - 0
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |