Unión Molinense vs FC Cartagena B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
3º
2º
25
9º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 67 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 63 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 60 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 58 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 58 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 54 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 53 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 49 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 36 |
14º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 28 |
15º
|
56.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 22 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 20 |
17º
|
47% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 16 |
18º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
64% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
17.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
MSM
1 - 1
AFC
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MSM
2 - 2
EGP
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
DPM
1 - 2
MSM
16%
20%
64%
|
38 | 12 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MSM
6 - 1
PLU
83%
11%
5%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CIE
0 - 0
MSM
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
DPM
0 - 1
CAR
16%
19%
65%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
CIE
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BUL
2 - 3
CAR
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAL
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 2
CAR
11%
19%
70%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |