Malvarrosa A vs C.D. Apolo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+166%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malvarrosa A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
EKK
0 - 7
MAL
53%
21%
26%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 1
DSV
23%
20%
57%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SER
10 - 1
MAL
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MAL
2 - 3
MAL
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
NAZ
1 - 1
MAL
86%
10%
5%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Apolo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
APO
4 - 2
SIL
66%
16%
18%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
SER
6 - 2
APO
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 1
APO
52%
19%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
APO
2 - 1
DSV
29%
20%
51%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
EKK
3 - 2
APO
52%
20%
28%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |