Madrid Rio vs Orcasitas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madrid Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NUE
1 - 2
CFM
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
CFM
5 - 0
EVM
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
GIG
0 - 2
CFM
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CFM
1 - 2
BET
52%
22%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CFM
2 - 2
MOS
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Orcasitas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ORC
3 - 1
DPF
33%
21%
46%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 3
ORC
46%
22%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ORC
1 - 1
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ARG
0 - 1
ORC
32%
23%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ORC
2 - 2
SAR
19%
20%
61%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |