Madrid Rio vs Lucero-Linces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
51%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madrid Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BET
3 - 2
CFM
67%
19%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CFM
1 - 1
GRI
17%
19%
64%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AVA
1 - 1
CFM
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CFM
1 - 1
LAA
66%
19%
15%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EFC
2 - 1
CFM
72%
16%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lucero-Linces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LUL
0 - 2
HUM
37%
22%
41%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BET
1 - 5
LUL
63%
19%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LUL
4 - 1
BRU
17%
18%
65%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GRI
3 - 0
LUL
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LUL
0 - 0
VDO
54%
19%
27%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |