Madrid Rio vs EF At. Casarrubuelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
46.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madrid Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
HUM
1 - 2
CFM
50%
23%
27%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CFM
0 - 1
LUL
59%
21%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MDE
2 - 2
CFM
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CFM
1 - 1
AVA
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GRI
5 - 0
CFM
25%
21%
54%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
EF At. Casarrubuelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
MBP
72%
15%
13%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
EFC
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HUM
3 - 1
CAS
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
LUL
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MDE
1 - 2
CAS
36%
22%
43%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |