Madrid Rio B vs Alfa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+252%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madrid Rio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 0
RLE
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 4
CAR
25%
21%
54%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SNB
1 - 6
MAR
15%
18%
68%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 0
CDB
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
LMJ
2 - 5
MAR
24%
21%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALF
2 - 5
CAR
27%
19%
54%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SNB
0 - 5
ALF
22%
18%
60%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ALF
4 - 0
CDB
78%
12%
10%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LMJ
1 - 2
ALF
26%
20%
54%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ALF
3 - 2
URU
59%
18%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |