Lorca Deportiva vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
72.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 2
ALM
19%
22%
59%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
AGU
4 - 0
LOR
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
IMP
3 - 2
LOR
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 1
IMP
47%
24%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALC
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SEV
1 - 2
MUR
35%
28%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
MUR
36%
26%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 1
MEL
61%
24%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 0
MUR
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 2
ALB
19%
23%
58%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |