Lorca Deportiva vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
10º
1º
5
9º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 70 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 65 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 59 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 57 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 55 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 55 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 53 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 49 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 49 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 43 |
12º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
14º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 30 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 23 |
16º
|
44.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 21 |
17º
|
47% | |
|
|
18º
|
5 | 13 |
18º
|
86.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
58% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
39% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 0
AFC
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MSM
1 - 0
LOR
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
LOR
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
UCA
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
IMP
1 - 2
LOR
43%
23%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UCA
2 - 1
PLU
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PLU
0 - 5
IMP
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
PLU
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PLU
1 - 2
DPM
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CIE
5 - 1
PLU
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |