Lorca Deportiva vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
62.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 0
NUE
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CIE
4 - 2
LOR
23%
22%
55%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
LOR
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 2
CDE
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CDE
1 - 1
LOR
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAD
2 - 2
LOR
42%
27%
30%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 2
ROD
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
FUE
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
UDL
4 - 1
LOR
81%
14%
5%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |