Lorca Deportiva vs Estudiantes Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
LOR
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 0
PIN
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LAU
1 - 1
LOR
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 1
IMP
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 0
LOR
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 2
EGP
26%
22%
53%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 3
NUE
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NUE
0 - 1
CHU
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAP
4 - 1
NUE
47%
23%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PLU
1 - 1
NUE
45%
23%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |