Internacional de Madrid vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional de Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 2
INT
51%
25%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
INT
3 - 2
POZ
28%
27%
45%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
INT
0 - 0
COL
54%
24%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 1
INT
35%
26%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
INT
2 - 2
ALC
26%
24%
51%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 1
GET
21%
22%
58%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SFN
3 - 0
ARA
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SFN
2 - 2
ARA
65%
21%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 1
INT
35%
26%
40%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
ARA
54%
25%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |