Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-4
Melilla Industrial vs Carolinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melilla Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
IME
1 - 0
CAR
49%
28%
23%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
MAR
2 - 0
IME
65%
21%
15%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
IME
0 - 1
MEL
49%
26%
25%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
ANT
3 - 0
IME
56%
25%
19%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
IME
1 - 1
JER
53%
25%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
IME
1 - 0
CAR
49%
28%
23%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
CAR
1 - 1
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ARC
1 - 1
CAR
64%
22%
14%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
CAR
4 - 1
AFC
58%
24%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
EXT
2 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |