Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-13
Melilla Industrial vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melilla Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
IME
1 - 2
CDB
12%
23%
65%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
HEL
7 - 1
IME
91%
7%
2%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
AGD
10 - 1
IME
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
IME
2 - 1
CFC
17%
31%
51%
|
17 | 55 | 38 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
SFE
5 - 1
IME
92%
7%
2%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
AGD
4 - 0
AMA
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
ELD
3 - 2
AGD
54%
26%
19%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
AGD
10 - 1
IME
88%
9%
3%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
AGD
2 - 1
CDB
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
HEL
2 - 0
AGD
62%
23%
16%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |