Indios vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 0
IND
48%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
IND
2 - 0
VER
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LAP
3 - 1
IND
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
IND
1 - 2
IRA
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PUM
2 - 2
IND
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
NEC
29%
30%
41%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAZ
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
0 - 3
MER
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
ALT
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |