Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-2
Gimnástico de Alcázar vs CP Villarrobledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnástico de Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1991 |
VIL
1 - 2
GIM
46%
27%
28%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
LSO
2 - 3
GIM
35%
29%
37%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
GIM
2 - 1
TAL
45%
27%
28%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
VIL
0 - 0
GIM
47%
28%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
GIM
3 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
CP Villarrobledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1991 |
VIL
1 - 2
GIM
46%
27%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
VIL
5 - 0
MAN
63%
23%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
CIU
1 - 0
VIL
49%
27%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
VIL
0 - 0
GIM
47%
28%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
2 - 0
VIL
59%
24%
17%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |