Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-6
Gimnástico de Alcázar vs Motilla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnástico de Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
DAI
2 - 1
GIM
46%
26%
28%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
ROD
1 - 2
GIM
27%
28%
45%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
GIM
2 - 3
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
UBC
0 - 1
GIM
24%
28%
48%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
GIM
2 - 1
YEB
79%
15%
7%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Motilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1990 |
MOT
1 - 2
MAN
77%
16%
8%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
CDB
2 - 1
MOT
58%
23%
18%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
MOT
2 - 0
TAL
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
CAM
1 - 3
MOT
38%
28%
35%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
MOT
1 - 1
VIL
57%
24%
19%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |