Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-4
Gimnástico de Alcázar vs Eibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
31.7%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.7%
36.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnástico de Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
LSO
2 - 1
GIM
28%
29%
43%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
GIM
1 - 0
VIL
74%
18%
8%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
ROD
2 - 1
GIM
17%
28%
54%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 1992 |
CDB
1 - 0
GIM
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
GIM
0 - 0
CIU
76%
17%
7%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
PAL
0 - 1
EIB
51%
29%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
EIB
1 - 2
VAD
34%
33%
34%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
ATH
4 - 0
EIB
56%
26%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
EIB
2 - 1
LUG
50%
30%
20%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
MLL
1 - 0
EIB
69%
21%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |