Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-1
Gimnástico de Alcázar vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnástico de Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1992 |
VIL
2 - 1
GIM
39%
30%
32%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
GIM
3 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
18%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
CDT
2 - 1
GIM
76%
17%
7%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
GIM
0 - 0
CAM
68%
20%
12%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
UDS
1 - 1
GIM
39%
29%
32%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1992 |
CDT
1 - 0
CAM
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
UDS
2 - 1
CDT
22%
27%
51%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -2 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
CDT
2 - 1
GIM
76%
17%
7%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1992 |
TAR
1 - 4
CDT
19%
27%
54%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
CDT
5 - 0
DAI
90%
8%
2%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |