Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-2
CF Extremadura vs Vecindario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
COR
1 - 0
EXT
17%
25%
58%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
EXT
4 - 0
SEV
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
PAL
0 - 0
EXT
25%
29%
46%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
VEC
1 - 0
EXT
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
MEL
0 - 0
EXT
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
VEC
0 - 1
LAN
32%
28%
40%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
PPJ
0 - 1
VEC
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
VEC
0 - 0
ULP
31%
28%
41%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
VEC
1 - 0
EXT
31%
28%
41%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
UDL
0 - 1
VEC
28%
27%
45%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |