CF Extremadura vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ALG
1 - 0
EXT
47%
27%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 1
TAL
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CDZ
2 - 2
EXT
28%
30%
41%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 0
CAR
60%
24%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
CDB
2 - 2
EXT
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
5 - 2
MAL
9%
22%
69%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 0
SEV
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 0
LOR
22%
28%
50%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
LOR
4 - 1
MUR
27%
28%
45%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 0
CDL
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |