Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 4-2
CF Extremadura vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
REC
1 - 2
EXT
58%
25%
18%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1992 |
DBN
0 - 1
EXT
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
EXT
1 - 2
MEL
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1992 |
EXT
5 - 2
CPC
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
SEV
0 - 1
EXT
35%
31%
34%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
DBN
1 - 1
MCB
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1992 |
DBN
0 - 1
EXT
41%
28%
31%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
CDS
0 - 0
DBN
22%
26%
52%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1992 |
DBN
1 - 0
VIL
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
DBN
2 - 1
MOR
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |