CF Extremadura vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
EMD
0 - 0
EXT
14%
25%
61%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
EXT
4 - 1
VIL
90%
8%
2%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
EXT
2 - 1
CDB
33%
25%
42%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
MOR
0 - 3
EXT
34%
28%
39%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
EXT
2 - 2
GUA
87%
10%
3%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
UCL
1 - 1
DBN
29%
26%
45%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
DBN
4 - 3
EMD
82%
13%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
DBN
3 - 1
MOR
71%
18%
12%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
VIL
0 - 1
DBN
24%
27%
49%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
DBN
0 - 1
MOR
70%
19%
11%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |