Estrela da Amadora vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
10º
18º
18º
10
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 69 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 68 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 61 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 52 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 39 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
5.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
27.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
58.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
ESA
75%
17%
9%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 0
BEN
52%
22%
27%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
ESA
15%
20%
65%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 3
ESA
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ESA
2 - 1
EST
33%
23%
43%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FAM
2 - 0
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FAM
3 - 2
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FAM
2 - 2
DEP
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FAM
2 - 0
CAS
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
FAM
3 - 1
PEN
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |